“High Flood Risk Posed for MidSouth and Ohio Valley Regions”
Parts of the mid-South and Ohio Valley regions are at serious risk of life-threatening floods due to heavy rainfall throughout the latter part of this week. Some areas may see rainfall totals exceeding 10 inches, described by the National Weather Service in Memphis, Tennessee, as unprecedented for the mid-South region.
Forecast Overview: A cold front will linger in the region during the latter half of the week, combined with Gulf moisture moving northward, creating a prolonged flood threat. This same storm system is also causing severe weather in the Plains, Midwest, and South regions this week.
Location and Timing: From Wednesday to Saturday, rounds of heavy rain will affect areas from northeast Texas to parts of the Mississippi and Ohio valleys, including cities like Little Rock, Memphis, Paducah, Louisville, Cincinnati, and others. Flood watches have been issued by the National Weather Service for these regions, indicating the potential for prolonged flooding.
Expected Impacts: Rainfall amounts exceeding six inches are likely, with some areas possibly reaching up to 15 inches. Rainfall rates could reach 1 to 3 inches per hour during the heaviest bands, leading to flash flooding and overflow of rivers, creeks, and streams.
Safety Precautions: Avoid driving through flooded roads as it only takes a foot of water to float a vehicle. Those living in flood-prone areas should remain vigilant for flood watches and warnings from the National Weather Service and be prepared to evacuate to higher ground if necessary. Follow guidance from local authorities in case of evacuation orders.
Author’s Note: Chris Dolce, a senior digital meteorologist with weather.com for nearly 15 years, provides insights on the rainfall forecast and its potential impacts.