As we wrap up another fantasy football season, it’s a good moment to look ahead to what’s coming next. Reflecting on the insights gained about running backs in 2024, let’s explore the five significant questions surrounding backfields that will shape fantasy drafts in the upcoming offseason.
What lies ahead for Christian McCaffrey? Regrettably, CMC’s selection as the top pick has not panned out as expected. Following a stellar 2023 fantasy season, McCaffrey’s 2024 performance was marred by injuries, limiting him to just four games without a touchdown. Dealing with various ailments such as a PCL sprain and Achilles tendinitis, there are concerns about whether the wear and tear on his body at the age of 29 will impact his fantasy reliability moving forward. Despite these challenges, McCaffrey’s talent is undeniable, especially within the 49ers’ offensive system. While his injury history raises doubts, his potential remains significant, though drafters may approach him cautiously next season, anticipating either a remarkable value or continued setbacks.
Which running backs will change teams in free agency? Notably, the 2024 season showcased veteran running backs thriving in new environments, including Saquon Barkley, Derrick Henry, Josh Jacobs, and Joe Mixon. However, it’s important to temper expectations for the upcoming free agent running back class in 2025. While Aaron Jones and Najee Harris stand out, the available options mostly consist of players with injury concerns or declining production. Without a clear path to a significant role in a potent offense, these free agents may struggle to meet elevated fantasy expectations, similar to D’Andre Swift in 2024.
Can Bucky Irving claim the RB1 spot in Tampa Bay? Irving emerged as a bright spot in the 2024 fantasy landscape, impressing as a rookie and finishing as the RB16 overall. Despite only playing 45% of the Buccaneers’ offensive snaps, Irving amassed 1,514 scrimmage yards, showcasing exceptional efficiency as a runner. In contrast, Rachaad White, who saw significant playing time alongside Irving, fell short in key performance metrics. While White offers value in other facets of the game, Irving’s standout running abilities position him as a potential lead back for the Buccaneers, signaling a promising future for the young talent.
It is likely that he will remain with the team. Looking ahead to 2025, a key question arises regarding whether the Bucs will increase Irving’s workload to that of a true bellcow. This scenario brings to mind the situations of De’Von Achane and Raheem Mostert going into the 2024 season, with expectations of Irving being similarly valued in upcoming drafts. If Irving can replicate Achane’s progress and reach over 300 touches next season, his fantasy value could soar to new heights.
Was Chase Brown’s success a temporary phenomenon? Brown emerged as a top draft pick for the season, excelling especially after Zack Moss suffered an injury in Week 8. Despite not being the most efficient runner, averaging 4.3 yards per carry and ranking outside the top 20 in yards after contact per attempt, Brown’s significant contribution both on the ground and in the passing game made him a valuable asset in fantasy football.
With Moss contracted to the Bengals for 2025, similar to the Rachaad White scenario, it is unlikely that the Bengals will part ways with Moss. Brown has demonstrated his ability to lead the backfield, raising curiosity about how the Bengals will manage the workload distribution between the two running backs in the upcoming season. Additionally, considering the Bengals’ offensive performance may regress due to a weak defense and pass-heavy game strategies, it remains to be seen if Brown will establish himself as the primary back in the team’s potent offense or return to a shared role next season.
Who will secure Ashton Jeanty in the draft? After a remarkable college football season, Jeanty is poised to be a first-round pick in the 2025 NFL Draft. Depending on his landing spot, Jeanty could see a considerable rise in fantasy draft rankings in his rookie year. Speculations suggest potential teams such as the Cowboys, Commanders, and Vikings as landing spots for Jeanty.
A team with a dual-threat quarterback like the Commanders could be an ideal fit for Jeanty, benefiting from favorable defensive setups and reduced defensive focus. While history shows that first-round running backs with high fantasy expectations have had mixed success (e.g., Clyde Edwards-Helaire), there is optimism surrounding Jeanty’s potential to excel in the NFL under suitable conditions.
