Tropical Depression Two is currently located in the extreme southwestern Gulf and is expected to move towards the Mexican coast between Veracruz and Tampico. The system is disorganized, and there is a possibility that it will make landfall as a disorganized mass of tropical moisture accompanied by some gusty winds. If the circulation improves and wind speeds reach at least 40 mph before making landfall late Sunday, the storm will be named Tropical Storm Barry. A Tropical Storm Warning has been issued for parts of the Mexican Gulf coast as a precaution. The main impact is expected to be north of the landfall location with gusts of 40-50 mph and the primary threat being heavy rainfall leading to flooding.
Some of the moisture from the depression may reach South Texas, causing heavy rain from tonight into Monday before dissipating over mainland Mexico. There is potential for tropical development in the Gulf or off the southeastern U.S. coast later this week, as indicated in the provided graphic.
On the Pacific side of Mexico, a separate depression is forming and is likely to become Tropical Storm and possibly Hurricane Flossie. Flossie is projected to move parallel to the southwestern Mexican coast this week, with the majority of the strong winds remaining offshore. However, a slight shift in its path could bring hazardous weather to the vicinity of Manzanillo, and residents are advised to stay updated on the situation. Flossie is expected to weaken significantly as it reaches Cabo San Lucas by the end of the week.
There are no signs of activity in the tropical Atlantic and Caribbean regions due to strong winds, dry air, and high pressure prevailing. Disturbances originating from Africa are being pushed west towards Mexico by this persistent weather pattern, contributing to the formation of systems in the Pacific and the Gulf.
A cold front is predicted to stall near the Florida/Georgia line next weekend, which could potentially trigger the development of a tropical system. Computer models hint at the possibility of a depression forming in the northeastern Gulf or off the Georgia/Carolina coast about a week from now. While this situation should be monitored, there is no current activity. Typically, systems forming from old fronts are common in June.
Saharan dust surges are expected to continue their movement across the Atlantic towards the Gulf in the coming days. This indicates that any likely developments would involve systems on the fringes, such as those observed in the southern Gulf, or disturbances evolving from decaying fronts near the Gulf or Southeast coast.
